GGOALVIO

Tupa logoTupavsAmerica SP logoAmerica SP

COMPLETED

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

America SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tupa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while America SP are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and America SP hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.1% in the Paulista Série B, while America SP holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

America SP

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

16.1%

America SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TupaLLDWL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
America SPDW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
TupaAmerica SP
38.9Attack51.0
44.4Defence80.4
36.1Form66.7
41.6Power66.9
0.61xG1.67
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