Tupavs
America SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 5/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Tupa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while America SP are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and America SP hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.1% in the Paulista Série B, while America SP holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
America SP
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
16.1%
America SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.50/0.00