Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mali · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Mali
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Mali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TunisiaDDLLD
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MaliWWLDD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TunisiaMali
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence83.3
33.3Form100.0
35.5Power86.5
1.03xG1.82