Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tunisia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Tunisia
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Tunisia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TunisiaDDLLD
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LibyaLDDDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TunisiaLibya
61.1Attack33.3
38.9Defence50.0
33.3Form16.7
48.3Power36.5
1.67xG1.22