World Cup
Tunisia
Home
Japan
AwayMomentum trend
last 5 matchesTunisiaJapanProbability breakdown
Japan leads with 65% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Tunisia head into this in World Cup fixture at Estadio BBVA struggling for consistency (LLL), while Japan arrive in mixed form (LDWD). Tunisia have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 25% for Japan over 4 games.
Tactically, Japan hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Tunisia defence (1/100), while Tunisia's attack faces a average Japan backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.
Tunisia have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per home match. Japan have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.
Japan have generated 0.23 xG per game recently while conceding 1.69 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
Japan have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Japan to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Tunisia 1440%, Draw 2020%, Japan 6540%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
Recent form
Tunisia
Japan
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tunisia vs Japan?
GoalVio's model predicts Japan to win with 54% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Tunisia vs Japan?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.
Will both teams score in Tunisia vs Japan?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tunisia vs Japan?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.