Tunisia U20vs
Morocco U20
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · 9/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morocco U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tunisia U20 0-0 Morocco U20, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tunisia U20 0-0 Morocco U20
Original prediction
Morocco U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.77 | 23.8% | 33.0% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.1% | 29.8% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.1% | 37.2% | -13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Projected Score
Tunisia U20 0–0 Morocco U20
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Morocco U20
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Morocco U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20