Tunisia U20vsLibya U20

COMPLETED

World · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tunisia U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Tunisia U20 1-0 Libya U20, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Final result

Tunisia U20 1-1 Libya U20

Original prediction

Tunisia U20

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.28	71.5%	49.0%	-22.5 pts
Draw	4.71	19.4%	27.5%	8.1 pts
Away	10.10	9.1%	23.5%	14.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-22.5 pts

Projected Score

Tunisia U20 1–0 Libya U20

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Tunisia U20

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Tunisia U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Tunisia U20LDDDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5

Libya U20LL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2

Tunisia U20Libya U20

33.3Attack0.0

66.7Defence33.3

33.3Form0.0

45.3Power15.3

1.23xG0.79