Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tuna Luso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Tuna Luso are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Oratório are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuna Luso hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 21.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Serie D, while Tuna Luso holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tuna Luso
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
10.0%
Tuna Luso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33