Tuna Luso PA U20vs
União TO U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tuna Luso PA U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tuna Luso PA U20 1-1 União TO U20
Original prediction
Tuna Luso PA U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 56.7% | 46.4% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 23.9% | 25.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.62 | 19.4% | 28.5% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Tuna Luso PA U20
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Tuna Luso PA U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00