Tulevikvs
Tartu Kalev
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tulevik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 2-3 (6%), 3-4 (5%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tulevik 6-1 Tartu Kalev
Original prediction
Tulevik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 06:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.1% | 39.8% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 20.5% | 24.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.4% | 36.2% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–45%
Predicted outcome
Tulevik
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Tulevik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TulevikWLWLD
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu KalevWWLLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TulevikTartu Kalev
85.1Attack85.1
31.0Defence43.7
50.6Form57.5
55.2Power59.5
3.25xG3.48