Tulevikvs
Tallinna Kalev II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 10/3/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tulevik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 5-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tulevik 1-3 Tallinna Kalev II
Original prediction
Tulevik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.4% | 56.3% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 17.9% | 19.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 22.8% | 24.1% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.5–27%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Tulevik
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Tulevik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00