Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Tulevik are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Narva U21 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and narva U21 hold a 8.1-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 66.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely result in the Esiliiga B, favouring Narva U21 with 6.5% confidence, a 90% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Narva U21
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
6.5%
Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00