Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tulevik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3
Tulevik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Luunja are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWLD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Esiliiga B, while Tulevik holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tulevik
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Tulevik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75