Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tulevik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 5-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tulevik 3-0 Legion
Original prediction
Tulevik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 78.3% | 83.7% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.33 | 12.3% | 9.4% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 9.45 | 9.5% | 6.9% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.5–19%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Tulevik
Probability
83.7%
Model confidence
83.7%
Tulevik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TulevikLDDLL
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LegionLLDLL
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TulevikLegion
82.1Attack32.0
30.8Defence0.0
48.7Form20.0
53.6Power19.6
4.50xG1.19