Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tulevik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Tulevik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Legion are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tulevik hold a 38.6-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 19.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.6% in the Esiliiga B, while Tulevik holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tulevik
Probability
84.6%
Model confidence
84.6%
Tulevik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40