TukumsvsOgre United

Tukums are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ogre United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tukums hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 24.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the Virsliga, while Tukums holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.