Tukumsvs
Metta / LU
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 4/2/2023, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tukums · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tukums are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Metta / LU are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Metta / LU hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Virsliga, while Tukums holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tukums
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Tukums has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60