Tukumsvs
FS Jelgava
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tukums · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tukums 1-4 FS Jelgava
Original prediction
Tukums
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.0% | 46.4% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.8% | 23.1% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.2% | 30.5% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Tukums
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Tukums has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TukumsLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FS JelgavaWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TukumsFS Jelgava
49.4Attack34.6
33.3Defence43.2
24.7Form34.6
36.7Power38.6
1.80xG1.28