Tukumsvs
FK Liepaja
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 4/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Liepaja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tukums are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FK Liepaja are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Liepaja hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Virsliga, while FK Liepaja holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FK Liepaja
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
11.5%
FK Liepaja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20