TukumsvsDžiugas Telšiai

Tukums are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Džiugas Telšiai are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Džiugas Telšiai hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tukums holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.