TukumsvsBFC Daugavpils

Tukums are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while BFC Daugavpils are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.