TukumsvsBFC Daugavpils

Tukums are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while BFC Daugavpils are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.