Tukumsvs
BFC Daugavpils
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 3/12/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BFC Daugavpils · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tukums are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while BFC Daugavpils are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BFC Daugavpils
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
BFC Daugavpils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60