Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tukums are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Auda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Auda hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Virsliga, while Auda holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
10.5%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00