Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skanste · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Tukums II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Skanste are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Skanste hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (26.9 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the 1. Liga, while Skanste holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skanste
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Skanste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80