GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 3/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metta / LU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Tukums II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Metta / LU are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Metta / LU hold a 53.5-point power-rating edge (26.9 v 80.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.0% in the 1. Liga, while Metta / LU holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metta / LU

Probability

90.0%

Model confidence

90.0%

Metta / LU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tukums IILWLDW

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Metta / LUWLWLW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Tukums IIMetta / LU
43.8Attack100.0
6.3Defence70.8
25.0Form85.4
26.9Power80.4
0.73xG4.50
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