Tuggeranong Unitedvs
Queanbeyan City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Capital Territory NPL · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Queanbeyan City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tuggeranong United 0-2 Queanbeyan City
Original prediction
Queanbeyan City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.3% | 39.3% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 23.9% | 19.0% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.8% | 41.7% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Queanbeyan City
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Queanbeyan City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00