GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 4/15/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tuggeranong United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Tuggeranong United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while O'Connor Knights are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuggeranong United hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Tuggeranong United holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tuggeranong United

Probability

74.4%

Model confidence

8.2%

Tuggeranong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tuggeranong UnitedWLLLW

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
O'Connor KnightsLLLWD

GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tuggeranong UnitedO'Connor Knights
82.5Attack42.1
31.6Defence33.3
68.4Form35.1
60.5Power39.4
4.00xG1.56
View match centre →