GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 4/30/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tuggeranong United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Tuggeranong United are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Canberra Olympic are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuggeranong United hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Tuggeranong United holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tuggeranong United

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Tuggeranong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tuggeranong UnitedLLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/5.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Canberra OlympicLWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Tuggeranong UnitedCanberra Olympic
82.5Attack68.5
31.6Defence7.4
68.4Form31.5
60.5Power36.7
4.50xG2.52
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