GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 5/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tuggeranong United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Tuggeranong United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Canberra Olympic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuggeranong United hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Tuggeranong United holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tuggeranong United

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Tuggeranong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tuggeranong UnitedWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Canberra OlympicLLWLW

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tuggeranong UnitedCanberra Olympic
82.5Attack68.5
31.6Defence7.4
68.4Form31.5
60.5Power36.7
4.50xG2.52
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