GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 5/13/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Canberra FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Tuggeranong United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Canberra FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Canberra FC hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 80.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Canberra FC holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Canberra FC

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

60.0%

Canberra FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tuggeranong UnitedWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Canberra FCWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Tuggeranong UnitedCanberra FC
82.5Attack100.0
31.6Defence57.9
68.4Form86.0
60.5Power80.1
2.24xG3.88
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