Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaragoza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.96 | 15.5% | 33.0% | 17.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.7% | 26.8% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.52 | 60.7% | 40.2% | -20.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Zaragoza
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Zaragoza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TudelanoDDLLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ZaragozaWDDWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TudelanoZaragoza
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.63xG1.39