Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tudelano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tudelano 0-0 Reddis, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tudelano 1-3 Reddis
Original prediction
Tudelano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.0% | 40.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 29.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.1% | 30.0% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Projected Score
Tudelano 0–0 Reddis
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Tudelano
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Tudelano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TudelanoLWWLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ReddisLWWLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TudelanoReddis
46.7Attack16.7
60.0Defence75.0
46.7Form50.0
51.9Power50.3
1.09xG0.86