GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/3/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tudelano are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Real Zaragoza II are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DDWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Zaragoza II hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TudelanoWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Real Zaragoza IIDDWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
TudelanoReal Zaragoza II
44.1Attack50.0
68.6Defence60.8
47.1Form54.9
53.2Power56.3
1.10xG0.87
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