Tudelanovs
Barcelona B
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona B · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tudelano 1-2 Barcelona B
Original prediction
Barcelona B
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.96 | 22.8% | 28.6% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.4% | 27.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.8% | 43.7% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona B
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Barcelona B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20