Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tudelano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tudelano 1-1 Barbastro
Original prediction
Tudelano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.9% | 41.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.6% | 28.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.5% | 30.1% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Tudelano
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Tudelano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TudelanoDLLWW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BarbastroDLDDL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TudelanoBarbastro
47.6Attack28.6
47.6Defence66.7
38.1Form33.3
45.8Power45.9
1.11xG0.92