Tucuman CentralvsSportivo Las Parejas

COMPLETED

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Las Parejas · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Tucuman Central 0-0 Sportivo Las Parejas, with an exact score probability of 34%.

Final result

Tucuman Central 0-4 Sportivo Las Parejas

Original prediction

Sportivo Las Parejas

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	4.63	19.4%	22.0%	2.6 pts
Draw	3.33	27.1%	35.4%	8.3 pts
Away	1.68	53.5%	42.6%	-10.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.9 pts

Projected Score

Tucuman Central 0–0 Sportivo Las Parejas

Exact score probability: 34%

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Las Parejas

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Sportivo Las Parejas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Tucuman CentralLDLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5

Sportivo Las ParejasWLDDD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5

Tucuman CentralSportivo Las Parejas

31.9Attack20.8

47.8Defence77.8

27.5Form41.7

37.9Power49.1

0.45xG0.67