GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Martin Formosa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Tucuman Central are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while San Martin Formosa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Torneo Federal A, while San Martin Formosa holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Martin Formosa

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

14.5%

San Martin Formosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tucuman CentralLW

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
San Martin FormosaLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tucuman CentralSan Martin Formosa
31.6Attack57.9
50.9Defence63.2
31.6Form68.4
40.0Power64.4
0.70xG1.70
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