GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tucuman Central are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Boca Unidos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Unidos hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Torneo Federal A, while Boca Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Unidos

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

14.7%

Boca Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tucuman CentralLLDLD

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Boca UnidosDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tucuman CentralBoca Unidos
31.6Attack42.6
50.9Defence51.9
31.6Form40.7
40.0Power46.3
0.97xG1.18
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