Tucuman Centralvs
Boca Unidos
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tucuman Central 2-2 Boca Unidos
Original prediction
Boca Unidos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.4% | 26.9% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 26.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.7% | 46.3% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Boca Unidos
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Boca Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80