Tubizevs
Union Saint-Gilloise II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tubize · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tubize 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise II
Original prediction
Tubize
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.4% | 42.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.0% | 27.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.6% | 30.3% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Tubize
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Tubize has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00