Tubizevs
Sporting Charleroi II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 8/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tubize · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tubize 1-0 Sporting Charleroi II
Original prediction
Tubize
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.6% | 61.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.0% | 21.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 5.50 | 16.4% | 16.8% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Tubize
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Tubize has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80