Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tubize · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tubize 1-4 Rochefort
Original prediction
Tubize
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.1% | 37.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.6% | 27.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.4% | 35.8% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Tubize
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Tubize has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TubizeWWLWD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RochefortWWDWD
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TubizeRochefort
33.3Attack100.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
83.3Power91.7
1.42xG1.49