Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tubize · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tubize 0-1 Meux
Original prediction
Tubize
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.3% | 37.5% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 25.9% | 26.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 23.8% | 36.1% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Tubize
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Tubize has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TubizeLWDWD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MeuxLDWLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TubizeMeux
50.0Attack50.0
55.6Defence77.8
61.1Form72.2
57.7Power68.4
1.17xG1.34