Tubizevs
Habay-la-Neuve
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tubize · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tubize 1-0 Habay-la-Neuve
Original prediction
Tubize
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.8% | 49.1% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 26.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 24.0% | 24.6% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Tubize
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Tubize has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80