Catarinense - 2Catarinense - 2
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:03
Tubarao

Tubarao

Home
LLW
02
Full time
Guarani de Palhoça

Guarani de Palhoça

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Guarani de Palhoça(46%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Tubarao
27%
Draw
27%
Guarani de Palhoça
46%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tubarao
73
Guarani de Palhoça
34
Defence
Tubarao
39
Guarani de Palhoça
66
Momentum
Tubarao
33
Guarani de Palhoça
33
Danger (xG)
Tubarao
1.80
Guarani de Palhoça
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Tubarao)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Guarani de Palhoça)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Tubarao)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (Guarani de Palhoça)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
TubaraoTubarao
LLWD
Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça
DD

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Tubarao27%
Draw27%
Guarani de Palhoça46%

Guarani de Palhoça leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tubarao head into this in Catarinense - 2 fixture in mixed form (LLW), while Guarani de Palhoça arrive in mixed form (D). Tubarao have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Guarani de Palhoça over 1 games.

The model rates Tubarao's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Guarani de Palhoça defence, and Guarani de Palhoça's attack at 34/100 against a 39/100 Tubarao backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Tubarao have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Guarani de Palhoça have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Tubarao and Guarani de Palhoça in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Guarani de Palhoça to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Tubarao 2724%, Draw 2675%, Guarani de Palhoça 4601%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Tubarao

Tubarao

L
@ Caravaggio
15 Jul 2026
12
L
vs Metropolitano
12 Jul 2026
23
W
@ Jaraguá
1 Jul 2026
30
D
@ Nação
12 May 2026
00
Guarani de Palhoça

Guarani de Palhoça

D
@ Fluminense-SC
15 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Juventus SC
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tubarao vs Guarani de Palhoça?

GoalVio's model predicts Guarani de Palhoça to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tubarao vs Guarani de Palhoça?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Tubarao vs Guarani de Palhoça?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tubarao vs Guarani de Palhoça?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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