GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/31/2025, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

TuBa Pohlheim are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TuBa PohlheimLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Vfb MarburgWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TuBa PohlheimVfb Marburg
55.6Attack50.0
33.3Defence66.7
44.4Form66.7
45.9Power64.8
1.58xG1.82
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