GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TuBa Pohlheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

TuBa Pohlheim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while TuBa Pohlheim holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

TuBa Pohlheim

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

TuBa Pohlheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TuBa PohlheimDWLWL

GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TuBa PohlheimFernwald
55.6Attack41.7
33.3Defence58.3
44.4Form41.7
45.9Power48.8
1.78xG1.62
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