GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/14/2025, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TuBa Pohlheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

TuBa Pohlheim are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fernwald are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while TuBa Pohlheim holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

TuBa Pohlheim

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

TuBa Pohlheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TuBa PohlheimDLLWD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldWWLDW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TuBa PohlheimFernwald
55.6Attack41.7
33.3Defence58.3
44.4Form41.7
45.9Power48.8
1.78xG1.62
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