GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/6/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

TuBa Pohlheim are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Baunatal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and TuBa Pohlheim hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Oberliga - Hessen, favouring a draw with 10.2% confidence, a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.2%

Model confidence

10.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TuBa PohlheimWLWLL

GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BaunatalDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TuBa PohlheimBaunatal
66.7Attack16.7
16.7Defence66.7
50.0Form16.7
45.8Power36.5
1.94xG1.58
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