TSV Steinbachvs
VfR Mannheim
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfR Mannheim · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TSV Steinbach 0-2 VfR Mannheim
Original prediction
VfR Mannheim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 30.8% | 31.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 28.3% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.1% | 40.2% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
VfR Mannheim
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
VfR Mannheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60