GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 8/12/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TSV Steinbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

TSV Steinbach are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hessen Kassel are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hessen Kassel hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Regionalliga - SudWest, while TSV Steinbach holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

TSV Steinbach

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

TSV Steinbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TSV SteinbachWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hessen KasselWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TSV SteinbachHessen Kassel
53.9Attack48.0
39.2Defence51.0
43.1Form46.1
46.8Power50.1
1.71xG1.64
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